Paris Masters 2025: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Sonego preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips

Rohit
Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Sonego is one of the first-round matches at the Paris Masters 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Sonego is one of the first-round matches at the Paris Masters 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: (Q) Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Sonego

Date: October 27, 2025

Tournament: Rolex Paris Masters

Round: First Round (Round of 64)

Venue: La Défense Arena, Paris, France

Category: Masters 1000

Surface: Hard (indoor)

Prize Money: €6,128,940

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Sonego preview

Sebastian Korda at the US Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Sebastian Korda at the US Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Qualifier Sebastian Korda will take on Lorenzo Sonego in the first round of the Paris Masters on.

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Korda was sidelined for three months after the French Open, which caused his ranking to drop from No. 23 to No. 86. He made his comeback at the Winston-Salem Open but withdrew prior to his semifinal match. He wasn't fully fit but still entered the US Open, eventually retiring from his first-round contest.

The past few weeks have been a mixed bag for Korda. He made the quarterfinals of the Japan Open but left the Shanghai Masters without a win. He then reached the quarterfinals of the Stockholm Open but followed it up with a first-round exit from last week's Swiss Indoors. He booked his place in the Paris Masters main draw with wins over Vit Kopriva and Valentin Royer.

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Sonego, meanwhile, started his season on a positive note with a quarterfinal run at the Australian Open. However, he struggled to sustain this level over the next few months, with his only other noteworthy result being a quarterfinal appearance in Marseille. He had a resurgence at Wimbledon, reaching the fourth round for the second time.

However, the Italian has struggled for consistency ever since. He has tallied back-to-back wins only once, at the Stockholm Open, where he reached the quarterfinals. He recently lost to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the first round of the Swiss Indoors.

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Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Sonego head-to-head

Sonego leads their rivalry 3-2. Korda won their previous meeting at the Adelaide International in 2024 in straight sets.


Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Sonego odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Sebastian Korda-200+1.5 (-550)Over 22.5 (-140)
Lorenzo Sonego+155-1.5 (+310)Under 22.5 (-105)
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(Odds via BetMGM)


Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Sonego prediction

Lorenzo Sonego at the China Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Lorenzo Sonego at the China Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Sonego has struggled in recent months, putting together a 6-10 record since the resumption of the hardcourt swing in July. Despite being on the comeback trail after a major injury, Korda has outperformed the Italian, going 8-7 since his return to the tour in late August.

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Sonego has a slim 3-2 advantage in this rivalry. All five of their previous matches were wrapped up in straight sets. He has also won both of their prior encounters on indoor hardcourt. That could give him an upper hand in Paris, which will also be contested indoors.

However, the courts at the Paris Masters have been slower than in previous years. This could level the playing field. Korda has already gotten a feel for the court conditions, having played in the qualifying rounds. That could ultimately turn the tide in his favor.

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Pick: Sebastian Korda to win in straight sets.


Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Sonego betting tips

Tip 1: Sebastian Korda to win.

Tip 2: The match will have at least 20 games.

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Edited by Rohit
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