Davis Cup Finals 2025 final: Italy vs Spain ft. Matteo Berrettini vs Pablo Carreno Busta preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips

Italy vs Spain - Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Image Source: Getty
Italy vs Spain - Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Image Source: Getty

Match Details

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Fixture: Italy vs Spain - Davis Cup Finals

Date: November 23, 2025

Tournament: Davis Cup Finals 2025

Round: Final

Venue: SuperTennis Arena, Bologna, Italy

Category: Davis Cup

Surface: Hard (indoor)

Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – BBC, Tennis Channel | Canada – TVA

Italy vs Spain Preview

Berrettini at the Italy v Austria - Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Source: Getty
Berrettini at the Italy v Austria - Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Source: Getty

Italy will battle Spain for the prestigious Davis Cup trophy on Sunday (November 23, 2025). Both teams have been sensational at the event so far.

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Italy continued their happy knack of performing well at the Davis Cup Finals. They are yet to lose a match in Bologna and have cruised past Austria and Belgium in the last two rounds.

Meanwhile, Spain has shown their survival instincts throughout the entire Davis Cup campaign this year. They started their campaign with a brilliant 2-1 victory over the Czech Republic and then outsmarted Germany in the next round.

The Italians are yet to lose a match at the Davis Cup finals this week. They have a chance to win their third consecutive final in Bologna on Sunday.

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On the other hand, Pedro Martinez and Marcel Granollers have been the stars of the show for Team Spain. The pair has won their crucial doubles encounters and kept Spain in the competition so far.

On that note, let's look at the potential match-ups between the two teams:

#1. Matteo Berrettini vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Berrettini reacts after winning a point against Belgium- Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Source: Getty
Berrettini reacts after winning a point against Belgium- Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Source: Getty

First up, Matteo Berrettini could lock horns with Pablo Carreno Busta in the first singles round.

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Berrettini is unbeaten in his last 10 matches at the Davis Cup. The Italian outclassed Juric Rodionov in the opening round and then eased past Raphael Collignon in the semifinals.

Meanwhile, Pablo Carreno Busta entered Bologna after a runner-up finish in the Olbia Challenger. He won an important match against Jan-Lennard Struff, but lost to Jakub Mensik earlier in the week.

The head-to-head between the duo is locked at 1-1. Pablo Carreno Busta won their most recent encounter in the 2022 Canadian Open.

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#2. Flavio Cobolli vs Jaume Munar

Next up, Flavio Cobolli could take on Jaume Munar in the second singles round.

Cobolli secured title-winning runs in Bucharest and Hamburg this year. He not only held his nerve against Zizou Bergs in the semifinals but also edged past Filip Misolic in the opening round.

On the other hand, Jaume Munar gave Spain a solid start this week by upsetting Jiri Lehecka in the opening round. He then struggled to get out of jail against Alexander Zverev, but his teammates bailed him out.

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Munar leads the head-to-head against Cobolli 1-0. He defeated the Italian most recently in the 2025 Shanghai Masters.


#3. Marcel Granollers / Pedro Martinez vs Andrea Vavassori / Simone Bolelli

Martinez and Granollers at the Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Source: Getty
Martinez and Granollers at the Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Source: Getty

Lastly, Marcel Granollers and Pedro Martinez could square off against Andrea Vavassori and Simone Bolelli in the penultimate round.

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The Spanish pair Granollers and Martinez have made the difference for Spain at the Davis Cup Finals. They beat Germany’s top team in the last four and also humbled Jakub Mensik and Tomas Machac in the opening round. The pair has only dropped one set so far.

Meanwhile, Vavassori and Bolelli have been kept quiet at the Davis Cup Finals so far. With Italy's dominance in singles matches, they haven't been called upon to compete in the deciding round. They entered Bologna after a semifinal appearance in the ATP Finals.

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Italy vs Spain head-to-head

Italy and Spain have faced each other 13 times in the Davis Cup, including three finals. Italy won the finals in 1959 and 1977, while Spain won in 1968.

Italy leads the head-to-head battle against Spain 7–6. However, Spain has won their last three meetings, defeating Italy 4–1 in the 2006 Davis Cup (Round of 16).

Italy vs Spain odds Davis Cup

Player Name Moneyline
Italy -325
Spain+250
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All odds are provided by Oddschecker.


Italy vs Spain prediction

Spain celebrates their win against Germany in the Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Source: Getty
Spain celebrates their win against Germany in the Davis Cup Finals 2025 - Source: Getty

Italy and Spain will fight for the Davis Cup trophy for the first time since 1977. The season finale will present a blockbuster encounter in Bologna.

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Berrettini has struggled to make a significant impact on the ATP tour, but is Italy's unsung hero in the Davis Cup. He is most likely to overpower Carreno-Busta and give the Azzuri the lead in the opening round.

On the other hand, Flavio Cobolli could struggle to make his mark against Jaume Munar. The Spaniard comfortably beat him last month (Shanghai) and needs to step up for his country this time around.

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As for the deciding doubles round, one has to side with Granollers and Martinez on Sunday. Their opponents haven't featured at the event so far, while they seem to be in clinical form in Bologna.

Italians have momentum and the noisy home crowd on their side. However, if either Munar or Carreno Busta causes an upset, the tie could take an interesting turn at the SuperTennis Arena.

Spain's story at the Davis Cup has been filled with memorable comebacks this year. This may be their moment despite being the underdogs in this bout.

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Pick: Spain to win 2-1.


Italy vs Spain Betting Tips

Tip 1: Munar to defeat Cobolli in three sets.

Tip 2: Berrettini to win against Carreno Busta.

Tip 3: The doubles match to have more than 20 games.

Tip 4: Marcel Granollers / Pedro Martinez to defeat Andrea Vavassori / Simone Bolelli in the penultimate round.

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Edited by Aman Mohamed
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