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Match Details
Fixture: (6) Alex de Minaur vs (13) Alexander Bublik
Date: October 31, 2025
Tournament: Rolex Paris Masters
Round: Quarterfinal
Venue: La Défense Arena, Paris, France
Category: Masters 1000
Surface: Hard (indoor)
Prize Money: €6,128,940
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN
Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Bublik preview
Sixth seed Alex de Minaur will take on Alexander Bublik in the quarterfinals of the Paris Masters 2025.
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De Minaur received a bye into the second round, where he fought past Gabriel Diallo 7-6 (8), 4-6, 6-3. He was up against former Paris Masters champion Karen Khachanov in the third round. The Aussie took control of the match right off the bat, breaking his opponent's serve twice in each set for an easy 6-2, 6-2 win.
Bublik beat Alexei Popyrin and Corentin Moutet in straight sets to reach the third round, where fourth seed Taylor Fritz awaited him. A tight first set when the Kazakh's way after his outplayed his opponent in the tie-break. The second set wasn't as competitive, with Bublik breaking Fritz's serve on two occasions for a 7-6 (5), 6-2 win.
Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Bublik head-to-head
De Minaur leads their rivalry 3-1. Bublik won their most recent meeting at the French Open 2025 in five sets.
Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Bublik odds
(Odds via BetMGM)
Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Bublik prediction
De Minaur made light work of Khachanov in the previous round, improving his record for the season to 55-20 in the process. He has also qualified for the ATP Finals thanks to his run here. He has reached his third consecutive quarterfinal at the Paris Masters, and his fourth at the Masters 1000 level this year.
Bublik's win over Fritz marked his first win over a top 10 player on hardcourts this year. He has progressed to his first Masters 1000 quarterfinal since his last eight appearance at the Madrid Open 2021. He has a 36-20 record this year, with 25 of those wins coming since the start of June. He has also won four titles during this period.
De Minaur won his first three matches against Bublik, and was on course for another win when they met at the French Open earlier this year. However, the Kazakh rallied from two sets down to upset his younger rival. His previous run in the French capital set the stage for his resurgence in the second half of the season.
Despite Bublik's recent success, de Minaur's consistency, both in terms of results and shotmaking during a match, make him the favorite to win this showdown. The slow conditions here give him enough room to work his magic, which could put Bublik at a disadvantage.
Pick: Alex de Minaur to win in three sets.
Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Bublik betting tips
Tip 1: Alex de Minaur to win.
Tip 2: The match will have at least 24 games.
