Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez preview, head-to-head, prediction, and betting tips | Hong Kong Open 2025

Victoria Fernandez and Leylah Fernandez
Victoria Mboko and Leylah Fernandez to meet in the semifinals of the Hong Kong Open on November 1, 2025 - Image source: Getty

Match Details

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Fixture: (3) Victoria Mboko vs (2) Leylah Fernandez

Date: November 1, 2025

Tournament: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open 2025

Round: Semifinals

Venue: Victoria Park, Hong Kong

Category: WTA 250

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $275,094

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez preview

Mboko at the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open - Day 4 - Source: Getty
Mboko at the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open - Day 4 - Source: Getty

Victoria Mboko and Leylah Fernandez will lock horns in the second semifinal of the Hong Kong Open on Saturday.

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Mboko led 6-1, 3-1 in the quarterfinals against sixth seed Anna Kalinskaya when the Russian withdrew due to physical issues. The Canadian had defeated Talia Gibson and Alexandra Eala in the opening rounds in Hong Kong to reach back-to-back quarterfinals in the Asia swing.

The 21-year-old is enjoying a breakout season, with a 55-14 win-loss record. She pulled off multiple upsets to clinch the Canadian Open, her maiden WTA title. After confirming a spot in the Hong Kong semifinals, Mboko rose to the top 20 of the singles rankings for the first time and became the top-ranked Canadian, surpassing her semifinal opponent, Leylah Fernandez.

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Fernandez is seeded second in Hong Kong and is the favorite for the title after Belinda Bencic's quarterfinal exit. Fernandez overcame Sorana Cirstea 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals after dominant victories against Wang Xiyu and Eva Lys in the opening two rounds at Victoria Park.

The former World No. 13 won the Japan Women's Open title in Osaka earlier this month to continue her strong comeback on the tour. She earlier clinched the Washington Open title to end her 21-month wait for a trophy.

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Fernandez boasts a 31-24 win-loss record this season.


Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez head-to-head

Mboko and Fernandez are facing each other for the first time, so the head-to-head record remains 0-0.


Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez prediction

Fernandez at the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open - Day 2 - Source: Getty
Fernandez at the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open - Day 2 - Source: Getty

Leylah Fernandez is on a roll in Hong Kong, having registered three consecutive wins without dropping a set. She has an excellent record in the country, having won the 2023 title and finished as a semifinalist in 2024.

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Meanwhile, Mboko needed three sets to win her first two matches in Hong Kong. She hasn't progressed to a final since her triumph in Montreal in July. Considering her momentum in the Asia swing and two titles on hardcourt this season, Leylah Fernandez is the favorite to book a spot in the final.

Pick: Leylah Fernandez to win in three sets.


Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez odds

PlayerMoneyline oddsHandicap betsTotal games
Victoria Mboko+145+3.5 (-140)Over 21.5 (-120)
Leylah Fernandez+280-3.5 (-105)Under 21.5 (-118)
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(Odds sourced from BetMGM)


Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez betting tips

Tip 1: Result: Fernandez to win

Tip 2: Mboko to win a set

Tip 3: The match is likely to go over 25 games

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Edited by Mitali
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