Novak Djokovic: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo

Date: November 4, 2025

Tournament: Hellenic Championship 2025

Round: Second Round (Round of 16)

Venue: OAKA Basketball Arena, Athens, Greece

Category: ATP 250

Surface: Hard (indoor)

Prize Money: €766,715

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo preview

Top seed Novak Djokovic will begin his campaign in Athens with his second-round matchup set against Alejandro Tabilo.

Djokovic has enjoyed an unusually long break between tournaments since the end of the clay-court season. After Wimbledon, finishing his run there on July 11, he took six weeks off before returning for the US Open. Once his US Open journey ended on September 6, Djokovic took another month away from competition before stepping back onto the court for the Shanghai Masters 1000 on October 3.

Although he made an appearance at the Six Kings Slam exhibition in mid-October, the Hellenic Championship will be his first official tournament since Shanghai.

Despite his limited schedule, Djokovic has continued to perform at an elite level. Over the past three months, he has reached the semifinals in all three tournaments mentioned above, putting together an impressive 14-3 record and earning wins against in-form players such as Alex de Minaur and Taylor Fritz.

For the season overall, Djokovic holds a 35-11 record, including 21 victories on hard courts, boasting a 75% win rate on the surface.

Alejandro Tabilo, on the other hand, has spent most of his season competing in Challenger events and early rounds of ATP tournaments. He enjoyed a successful Asian swing, reaching the finals of the Challenger Huangpu Guangzhou and winning the Chengdu Open, defeating Lorenzo Musetti 6-3, 2-6, 7-6.

However, his recent form has been less encouraging, with early exits in the Vienna Open and Bratislava Open, losing to Alexander Bublik and Chris Rodesch.

In the ongoing tournament, Tabilo faced a tough test in his opening round. He was down a break in the final set, with Adam Walton serving for the match at 5-4. However, Tabilo broke back and won three games in a row to take the match 7-6, 6-7, 7-5.

Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo head-to-head

Alejandro Tabilo leads the head-to-head against Novak Djokovic 2-0, claiming both wins on the clay court surface.

Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo odds

Player Name	Moneyline	Handicap	Total Games
Novak Djokovic	-625	-4.5 (-110)	Over 21.5 (-110)
Alejandro Tabilo	+400	+4.5 (-130)	Under 21.5 (-130)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)

Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo prediction

Alejandro Tabilo has won both of their previous meetings, but it’s worth noting that those matches were played on clay, a surface he’s most comfortable with. They haven’t faced each other on a hard court yet, where Novak Djokovic has been dominant throughout his career.

On hard courts, Tabilo’s win rate is just 53.6% this season. It further drops to 38.8% when counting only ATP Tour matches.

Djokovic, on the other hand, holds a clear edge in serving and consistency. He averages 8.5 aces per match compared to Tabilo’s 8.2, and he also converts 44.8% of his break point opportunities, while Tabilo manages 35.9%.

Pick: Novak Djokovic to win in straight sets.