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Match Details
Fixture: (5) Jessica Pegula vs (8) Jasmine Paolini
Date: November 6, 2025
Tournament: 2025 WTA Finals
Round: Round Robin
Venue: King Saud University Indoor Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Category: Year-end championships
Surface: Hard
Prize Money: $15,500,000
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN
Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini preview
Jessica Pegula will take on Jasmine Paolini in their third group stage match of the WTA Finals.
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Pegula has had a solid season so far. After title-winning runs in Charleston, Austin, and Bad Homburg, she reached the semifinals in New York. Despite a resilient performance against Aryna Sabalenka, the Belarusian defeated her at the US Open this year.
The American entered Riyadh after a close runner-up finish in Wuhan. She started her campaign with an excellent win against Coco Gauff, but couldn't ruffle the feathers of Aryna Sabalenka. The Belarusian outfoxed her in the second group-stage bout, 6-4, 2-6, 6-3.
Meanwhile, Jasmine Paolini has also had a promising season so far. After a title-winning run in Rome, she reached the semifinals in Ningbo and Wuhan. The Italian also reached the finals in Cincinnati, but lost to Iga Swiatek in straight sets.
Paolini has had a tough week in Riyadh. She started her campaign with a disappointing loss against Coco Gauff and then lost to Aryna Sabalenka in the second group-stage round. The Belarusian defeated her in straight sets, 6-3, 6-1.
Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini head-to-head
Pegula leads the head-to-head against Paolini 4-1. The Italian won their most recent encounter in the 2025 BJK Cup Finals.
Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini odds
All odds are sourced by Oddschecker.
Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini prediction
Pegula will feel gutted to lose against Sabalenka for the third time this year. The American still has a chance to qualify for the semifinals, but needs to first win the next bout.
Paolini, on the contrary, has been eliminated from the WTA Finals this year. She seems to be feeling the aftereffects of a hectic season and will try to give her best in the next group stage round.
Pegula has only lost to Paolini once in their last five matches on tour. With a must-win game on the cards, the American will be eager to tilt the tie in her favor and win this bout.
Pick: Pegula to win in three sets.
Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini betting tips
Tip 1: Match to have more than 22 games.
Tip 2: Pegula to register more than 15 winners.
