Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips | Wuhan Open 2025

Rohit
Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova is one of the third-round matches at the Wuhan Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova is one of the third-round matches at the Wuhan Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: (6) Jessica Pegula vs (9) Ekaterina Alexandrova

Date: October 9, 2025

Tournament: Wuhan Open

Round: Third Round (Round of 16)

Venue: Optics Valley International Tennis Center, Wuhan, China

Category: WTA 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $3,654,963

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova preview

Jessica Pegula at the Wuhan Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Jessica Pegula at the Wuhan Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Sixth seed Jessica Pegula will take on Ekaterina Alexandrova in the third round of the 2025 Wuhan Open on Thursday.

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Pegula received a bye into the second round, where she defeated compatriot Hailey Baptiste. Pegula, 31, captured the first set, but then found herself on the back foot in the second after going down a break on two occasions.

While she showed grit to get back on serve each time, even stopping her younger rival from serving out the set, she crumbled while serving at 4-5, thereby heading into a decider.

Pegula bounced back as she raced to a 5-2 lead in the third set. However, she wasted two match points on her own serve, followed by another three on Baptiste's as the contest headed to a tie-break. Pegula put an end to her countrywoman's comeback to score a 6-4, 4-6, 7-6(8) victory.

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Alexandrova, meanwhile, scored a 6-3, 6-2 win over teen phenom Victoria Mboko to reach the second round, where she was up against Ann Li. The Russian captured a closely contested opening set in a tie-break. She then took charge of the second set, cruising to a 7-6(5), 6-2 win.


Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova head-to-head

Alexandrova leads their rivalry 3-2. She won their previous meeting at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix in Stuttgart in straight sets earlier this year.

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Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Jessica Pegula-135+1.5 (-325)
Over 21.5 (-130)
Ekaterina Alexandrova+105-1.5 (+210)
Under 21.5 (-110)
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(Odds via BetMGM)


Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova prediction

Ekaterina Alexandrova at the China Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Ekaterina Alexandrova at the China Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Pegula battled for three hours in the sweltering Wuhan conditions to beat Baptiste and kick off her campaign with a win. She has made it a habit of taking the scenic route to victory these days. This was her sixth match since the start of the Asian swing, with five of those going the distance.

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Alexandrova, on the other hand, hasn't lost a set so far in Wuhan. This week is quite important for her as she looks to keep her hopes of qualifying for the WTA Finals afloat, as well as eyeing a top-10 debut.

This will be their fourth meeting this year. They split their first two encounters, with Alexandrova staging a comeback in Doha and Pegula needing three sets to beat the Russian in Charleston. Alexandrova won their most recent tussle in Stuttgart after losing just four games.

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Pegula has never beaten Alexandrova on hardcourt, going 0-2 on the surface against her. Her marathon win against Baptiste could also put her at a disadvantage. The Russian's record in this matchup favors her, so if she can keep her calm, another win is well within her reach.

Pick: Ekaterina Alexandrova to win in three sets.


Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova betting tips

Tip 1: Ekaterina Alexandrova to win.

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Tip 2: The match will have at least one tie-break.

Tip 3: The match will have at least 28 games.

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Edited by Rohit
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