China Open 2025: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction, and betting tips

Match Details

Fixture: (5) Jessica Pegula vs (16) Emma Navarro

Date: October 3, 2025

Tournament: 2025 China Open

Round: Quarterfinals

Venue: National Tennis Center, Beijing, China

Category: WTA 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $8,963,700

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro preview

Fifth seed Jessica Pegula will square off against her compatriot Emma Navarro in the quarterfinals of the 2025 China Open on Friday.

Pegula has won 46 of her 65 matches, claiming three titles across three surfaces. Her one hard-court title came in Austin, and notable results on the surface include runner-up finishes at Adelaide and Miami, as well as a semi-final run at the US Open.

Pegula began her China Open campaign with a first-round bye, after which she won 6-0, 6-3 against Ajla Tomljanovic in the second round. She battled past 30th seed Emma Raducanu 3-6, 7-6(9), 6-0 in the third round, before defeating 23rd seed Marta Kostyuk 6-3, 6-7(4), 6-1 in the fourth round.

Emma Navarro, meanwhile, has won 32 of her 55 matches this season, with her best result coming at the Merida Open, where she won the title. She registered quarter-final runs in Adelaide and Melbourne.

The American began her China Open campaign with a first-round bye, after which she defeated Elena-Gabriela Ruse in straight sets. Lois Boisson pulled out of their third-round clash after a set, handing Navarro a spot in the fourth round, where she upset top seed Iga Swiatek in three sets.

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro head-to-head

Pegula has a 2-0 head-to-head record against Navarro. She won their last match at the Bad Homburg Open this year in three sets.

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro odds

Player Name	Moneyline	Handicap Bets	Total Games
Jessica Pegula	-220	-1.5 (+105)	Over 21.5 (-110)
Emma Navarro	+170	+1.5 (-155)	Under 21.5 (-130)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro prediction

Pegula has won 71 percent of her first-serve points and has converted 55 percent of her break-point chances in three matches. She has also saved 9 of the 15 break points she has faced on serve.

Navarro, meanwhile, has won 69 percent of her first-serve points and has a 48 percent break-point conversion rate in the tournament. The No. 16 seed has broken serve 14 times from 29 opportunities, while saving 14 of the 21 break-points she has faced on serve.

Pegula is in better form on the surface and has the game to take down her younger compatriot.

Pick - Pegula to win in three sets

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro betting tips

Tip 1: Result - Pegula to win

Tip 2: Match to go three sets

Tip 3: Match to have more than 21 games

About the author

Sagnik, a Mass Communication and Journalism graduate, is a tennis journalist at Sportskeeda. Before finding his spot in the tennis writing team, he worked as a junior content specialist for academic content writing firms for a couple of years.

Before putting out any information in the public domain, Sagnik makes sure that every element of his content is well-researched and backed with credible data so that there is no misinterpretation of facts or quotes and ethical standards are maintained. To do so, Sagnik follows reputed websites like the Tennis Channel and Tennis TV, and renowned journalists on social media.

He is a fan of former player Roger Federer, and just like his favorite player, Sagnik likes to bring perfection to his write-ups by providing concise and on-point content. Speaking of the ‘GOAT’ debate, Sagnik believes that it is a bit unfair to compare the legends of the game from different eras who have played on different terms. But if he were to pick one, he’d go for Novak Djokovic based on his tally of 24 Grand Slam titles.

When not writing about tennis and technically analyzing the sport, which he believes are his 'forte', Sagnik indulges in reading books.

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Edited by SAGNIK DATTA