China Open 2025: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: Alexander Bublik vs (Q) Adrian Mannarino

Date: September 26, 2025

Tournament: China Open

Round: First Round (Round of 32)

Venue: National Tennis Center, Beijing, China

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $4,016,050

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino preview

Alexander Bublik at the Halle Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Alexander Bublik will take on qualifier Adrian Mannarino in the first round of the China Open on Friday.

Bublik made a dismal start to the season, winning only three matches across nine tournaments. He steadied the ship by reaching the fourth round in Madrid, but failed to win a match in his next two tournaments. He truly turned his season around with a quarterfinal run at the French Open, his first last-eight appearance at a Major.

Bublik lost to World No. 1 Jannik Sinner in Paris. He didn't have to wait too long for a rematch. They met at the Halle Open two weeks later, with Bublik upsetting the defending champion en route to the title, his first this year.

The Kazakh then lost in the first round of Wimbledon. He bounced back by winning titles in Gstaad and Kitzbuhel before reaching the fourth round at the US Open, where he lost to Sinner. He captured his fourth title of the season at last week's Hangzhou Open.

Mannarino's ranking dropped outside of the top 100 after his first-round exit from the Australian Open. He was relegated to competing at the Challenger circuit after failing to qualify for ATP events. A third-round showing at Wimbledon, followed by a runner-up finish at the Newport Challenger, fueled his return to the top 100.

Mannarino achieved his best result of the season at the Cincinnati Open, reaching the fourth round. He continued his good run of form at the US Open with another fourth-round showing. He lost in the first round of the Hangzhou Open and came through the China Open qualifiers with wins over Andrea Vavassori and Jesper de Jong.

Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino head-to-head

Bublik leads their rivalry 1-0. He won their only encounter at the 2020 Qatar Open in straight sets.

Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino odds

Player	Moneyline	Handicap Bets	Total Games
Alexander Bublik	-200	+1.5 (-525)	Over 22.5 (-115)
Adrian Mannarino	+155	-1.5 (+300)	Under 22.5 (-125)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)

Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino prediction

Adrian Mannarino at the US Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Bublik's ranking dropped to No. 82 after his subpar start to the season. However, he has staged an impressive turnaround by winning four titles over the past three months. He could make his top-15 debut with a deep run at the China Open. Bublik has a 31-17 record this year (24-4 since the French Open).

Mannarino has also improved after a poor start to the season, but his 11-12 record does not make for great reading. This makes Bublik the firm favorite to win this contest.

Pick: Alexander Bublik to win in straight sets.

About the author

Rohit is a journalist at Sportskeeda who specializes in covering tennis. Having been with the company for four years, he has proven himself as a formidable force in the field. With a Master's degree in law, Rohit brings his analytical and research skills to the forefront as a journalist. He stays on top of the game by using social media platforms and never misses a match for on-court insights. He values giving credit where it's due, keeping his reporting fair and accurate.

At the outset of his career, Rohit found his niche in writing previews and SEO pieces and it's this expertise that continues to define his role at Sportskeeda. He is particularly proud of one article that garnered an impressive 750k views and surpassed his "wildest dreams." Rohit is not particularly fond of (GOAT) debates and it is one of the reasons why he left the legal world behind. He prefers to view players in "tiers," where they're all esteemed to an extent. However, if pressed to name favorites, he would choose Serena and Venus Williams. The Williams sisters' journey from humble beginnings to the pinnacle of tennis has been his greatest source of inspiration.

When he isn't busy making spot-on predictions about match outcomes, Rohit likes reading, particularly fantasy, sci-fi, and comics. As an X-Men fanatic, he's also passionate about board games and enjoys watching movies in his spare time. And don't be surprised if you catch him silently wishing to the tennis gods for the removal of ad scoring from doubles.

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Edited by Rohit