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Match Details
Fixture: (1) Carlos Alcaraz vs (7) Alex de Minaur
Date: November 9, 2025
Tournament: ATP Finals
Round: Group Stage
Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy
Category: Year-end championships
Surface: Hard (Indoor)
Prize Money: $15,500,000
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur preview
Top seed Carlos Alcaraz will take on seventh seed Alex de Minaur in the group stage of the ATP Finals 2025.
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A title in Rotterdam was the highlight of Alcaraz's early hardcourt swing. He also made the semifinals of the Indian Wells Masters and the quarterfinals of the Australian Open. However, he hit a low point when he left the Miami Open without a win.
That proved to be a wake-up call for Alcaraz. He didn't lose before the final of his next nine tournaments after that. He won the Monte-Carlo Masters, the Italian Open and the French Open on clay, with an additional runner-up finish at the Barcelona Open. A title at Queen's Club and a final at Wimbledon brought an end to his grass swing.
Alcaraz resumed the hardcourt swing with a title at the Cincinnati Open, and followed it up with his triumph at the US Open. He continued his winning ways at the Japan Open as well. An injury forced him out of the Shanghai Masters, and his incredible streak came to an end with a surprise second-round loss to Cameron Norrie at the Paris Masters.
De Minaur's only title of the year came at the Citi DC Open. He also lost to Alcaraz in the Rotterdam final. He made the quarterfinals of the two hardcourt Majors, and progressed to his second Masters 1000 semifinal at the Monte-Carlo Masters. He also reached the last eight at three more Masters 1000 events, including the Shanghai and Paris Masters.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur head-to-head
Alcaraz leads de Minaur 4-0 in the head-to-head. He won their previous meeting at the Barcelona Open 2025 in straight sets.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur odds
(Odds via BetMGM)
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur prediction
Alcaraz will be keen to bounce back after a disappointing result at the Paris Masters. However, that loss is a minor blemish on an otherwise stellar season. He has won eight titles from 10 finals this year, and has compiled a 67-8 record.
De Minaur has put together a solid season as well, stringing a career-best tally of 55-21 so far. However, beating his fellow top 10 cohorts has proven to be a tall order for him. The Aussie has gone 1-8 against top 10 players this season, with his only win coming against Alexander Zverev at the Laver Cup.
Alcaraz has beaten de Minaur twice this year, first in Rotterdam and then in Barcelona. The Spaniard was pushed to three sets in the former match, which was also contested on indoor hardcourts. However, Alcaraz has raised his level considerably since that match. Despite his recent stumble in Paris, he will be the favorite to win this contest.
Pick: Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur betting tips
Tip 1: Carlos Alcaraz to win.
Tip 2: The match will have at least 20 games.
