Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine Paolini preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and betting tips | Ningbo Open 2025

Match Details

Fixture: (6) Belinda Bencic vs (2) Jasmine Paolini

Date: October 17, 2025

Tournament: Ningbo Open 2025

Round: Quarterfinals

Venue: Yinzhou Tennis Center in Ningbo, China

Category: WTA 500

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $1,064,510

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine Paolini preview

Bencic at the 2025 Wuhan Open - Day 6 - Source: Getty

Belinda Bencic and Jasmine Paolini are set to clash in the quarterfinals of the Ningbo Open on Friday.

The Swiss struggled to overcome qualifier Yuliia Starodubtseva in her previous match. She lost the opening set but fought back to claim a thrilling 5-7, 6-4, 7-5 win. Bencic had defeated Magda Linette in the opening round in Ningbo after failing to reach the last eight in Wuhan and Beijing.

Bencic has had a decent season so far with a 31-16 win-loss record. She clinched her ninth WTA singles title in Abu Dhabi earlier this season and also made it to the semifinals at Wimbledon, her joint-best result at a Major.

Jasmine Paolini, on the other hand, is seeded second in Ningbo and is the firm favorite after the early exit of top seed Mirra Andreeva. The Italian received a bye in the opening round and registered a 6-2, 7-5 win over former World No. 9 Veronika Kudermetova in the Round of 16.

The World No. 8 is enjoying another good season with a 41-17 win-loss record. She won her maiden WTA 1000 title in Rome and finished as a runner-up in Cincinnati.

Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine Paolini head-to-head

Bencic leads the head-to-head against Paolini with a 2-1 margin. However, the Italian won their most recent meeting 6-1, 6-1 in the United Cup this season.

Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine Paolini prediction

Paolini at the 2025 Wuhan Open - Day 8 - Source: Getty

Jasmine Paolini is having a decent Asian swing, with quarterfinal and semifinal appearances in Beijing and Wuhan, respectively. She defeated Iga Swiatek and Clara Tauson before falling to the eventual champion Coco Gauff in Wuhan.

The 29-year-old has also shown improvement on hardcourt this season, making it to the last four in Miami and Cincinnati.

Meanwhile, Bencic has struggled against top-seeded players on the surface and has failed to reach the last four on hardcourt since her triumph in Abu Dhabi earlier this year. The Swiss also suffered a heavy defeat against Paolini in the United Cup this season and is unlikely to cause an upset on Friday.

Pick: Paolini to win in three sets.

Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine Paolini odds

Player	Moneyline odds	Handicap bets	Total games
Belinda Bencic	+130	+2.5 (+100)	Under 21.5 (+100)
Jasmine Paolini	-163	-2.5 (-115)	Over 21.5 (-115)

(All odds are sourced from bet365 and oddschecker)

Belinda Bencic vs Jasmine Paolini betting tips

Tip 1: Result: Paolini to win.

Tip 2: Bencic to win one set.

Tip 3: The match to go over 25 games.