Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips | ATP Finals 2025

Alexander Zverev (L) Ben Shelton (R) | Getty
Alexander Zverev (L) Ben Shelton (R) | Getty

Match Details

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Fixture: (3) Alexander Zverev vs (5) Ben Shelton

Date: November 9, 2025

Tournament: 2025 ATP Finals

Round: Round Robin

Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy

Category: Year-end championships

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $15,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton preview

Alexander Zverev at the Rolex Paris Masters 2025 - Source: Getty
Alexander Zverev at the Rolex Paris Masters 2025 - Source: Getty

Zverev and Shelton are set to face off in their opening round-robin match at the ATP Finals in Turin. Zverev, ranked World No. 3, enters the event with a 54-23 record in 2025.

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The German has enjoyed a strong season, highlighted by a title win at his home event in Munich and three runner-up finishes, including at the Australian Open. Consistent runs to multiple Masters 1000 semifinals helped him qualify comfortably for the season finale.

Shelton, ranked World No. 6, has also had an impressive year with a 40-21 record. His breakthrough moment came with a Masters 1000 title in Canada, following strong performances throughout the North American hard-court swing. However, a shoulder injury forced him to withdraw from the US Open third round, briefly halting his momentum.

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Both players will be aiming for a strong start in Turin. Zverev’s consistency and experience contrast with Shelton’s explosive game and fearless energy, setting the stage for an exciting clash.


Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton head-to-head

The ATP Finals Round Robin clash between Zverev and Shelton will be their fifth on the tour. Zverev leads their head-to-head 4-0. The German has convincingly dominated proceedings against the American in their past battles.

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When they faced off in Cincinnati for the first time last year, Zverev won 3-6, 7-6(3), 7-5. Since then, they have met three times this year, and the German has won all in straight sets.


Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Alexander Zverev-155-2.5 (+125)Over 24.5 (-140)
Ben Shelton+120+2.5 (-185)Under 24.5 (-105)
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(Odds are sources from BetMGM)


Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton prediction

Ben Shelton at the Rolex Paris Masters 2025 - Source: Getty
Ben Shelton at the Rolex Paris Masters 2025 - Source: Getty

Since his third-round loss at the US Open, Zverev holds a 9-6 record. While he has remained competitive against top-10 opponents, his only win in that bracket came against Lorenzo Musetti.

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Two defeats to Jannik Sinner, one in a final and another in a semifinal, have been particularly costly, denying him further titles in the closing stretch of the season.

Shelton, meanwhile, has struggled to regain rhythm after his shoulder injury. Since the US Open, he has gone 3-3, with early exits in Shanghai and Basel before a better showing in Paris, where he reached the quarterfinals. His loss to Sinner in straight sets summed up his inconsistent form since returning to the tour.

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Zverev’s recent consistency and experience in high-stakes matches give him the edge. Shelton’s firepower could trouble him, but the German is likely to prevail in a tight three-set battle.

Pick: Zverev to win in three sets.


Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton betting tips

Tip 1: Zverev to win 2-1 in sets.

Tip 2: Shelton to win over 8.5 games.

Tip 3: Total games over 22.5.

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Edited by Aliasgar Ayaz
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