I love the craziness of Thanksgiving week in the NFL. Games are spread across four different days. Fun slates to bet or play DFS on. It’s truly a football paradise. For our season-long leagues, we can’t drop the ball. Just two weeks remain in the fantasy regular season. Playoff spots are at stake. Byes are hanging in the balance. Someone in your league could be facing an insane last-place punishment!
With so much on the line, I’ve done the hard work for you. Here are my favorite start and sit options for some “flex” options that could be on your bench or waiver wire. At this time of year, we need to turn over every stone to find maximum fantasy points. This isn’t the time to “set it and forget it.”
I hope everyone out there has a great holiday weekend, and good luck in Week 13.
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Start’em:
John Metchie III (WR) NYJ - The Jets acquired Metchie from the Philadelphia Eagles in a trade deadline deal that went largely under the radar. A prolific college wideout, Metchie has battled injuries and even cancer on this journey into the league. Now, playing for a Jets offense that doesn’t have much else, he’s thrust into a starting role. Over the last two weeks, Metchie has had an 82% route share and owns 20% of the Jets’ targets. In Week 12, his 6/65/1 line was good enough for PPR WR 11. I’m rolling with him in several leagues as the Jets' passing game has nowhere else to turn. Pick up and start the Jets' slot receiver against the Falcons on Sunday.
Jacoby Brissett (QB) ARI - The Brissett train keeps rolling. Another top-10 performance last week from the journeyman gunslinger. There is no going back, folks. It’s Brissett’s job in Arizona. This is six consecutive games where Brissett has finished as a top-12 quarterback. Now he’ll have a Tampa Bay defense that will likely blitz his brains out, but we’re going to get a high volume of attempts. Brissett is averaging 50 attempts over his last three games. Tampa is a pass-funnel defense that has allowed the fifth-most points to opposing quarterbacks this season.
R.J. Harvey (RB) DEN - Fresh off his BYE, Harvey assumes his lead back role for Denver. Lucky for him, he’ll see a Commanders defense that gives up the sixth most points to running backs. The last two runners against Washington scored 21.5 (Achane) and 38.2 (Gibbs). Harvey isn’t quite on the level of those backs, but taking the starting role due to J.K. Dobbins’ injury, Harvey owns 61% of the Broncos' rushing attempts. Fire him up with confidence.
Sit’em:
Tyrone Tracy (RB) NYG - The Giants are running the ball under interim head coach Mike Kafka. It’s helped Tracy finish as RB 12 and 13 in his last two outings. Tracy is averaging 19.5 carries in that span. That’s incredible usage. It’s just not going to work against the Patriots. Only the Lions allow fewer points to running backs this season. Only one back has topped 100 yards against the Pats; ironically, it was last week (Chase Brown). With New England likely playing from ahead, I don’t like Tracy’s chances of racking up the carries. He’s a fine pass catcher, and that could save his day. I’m just anticipating a less-than-ideal usage output from the Giants' offense on Monday night in Foxboro.
Devin Neal (RB) NO - Neal is this week’s waiver wire darling and for good reason. Starting running backs don’t grow on trees. He’ll face a Dolphins defense that surprisingly has come on of late with solid performances against the Bills and Commanders. The biggest thorn in Neal’s side is going to be Taysom Hill. The hybrid QB/TE/RB is a pain in the neck for fantasy managers. In Week 12, Hill saw a 36% rush share (9 carries), which included a goal-line touch. Those are very annoying when projecting Neal. With the game in Miami, I can see the Dolphins' offense playing well and forcing New Orleans to throw more. I still like Neal for 8-10 PPR points, but temper expectations. This isn’t Alvin Kamara 2.0.
Tre Tucker (WR) LV - The Raiders booted offensive coordinator Chip Kelly this week. How that impacts the passing game is yet to be determined. Tucker has been up and down this season. After two straight weeks as WR 53, he scored in Week 11 and finished as WR 16. Even on 10 targets last week, he couldn’t crack the top 50 at the position. This is primarily a Geno Smith problem. If you’re desperate for a WR or flex, you can find better options than Tucker. His opponent Sunday, the Chargers, held him to 3/12 in Week 2, and on the year, they are a bottom-five matchup for opposing wideouts.
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