Tigres vs Toluca Prediction and Betting Tips

Tigres will play host to Toluca at Estadio Universitario in Liga MX on Thursday. This is the last tie of the Apertura 2025 Liga MX final phase.

Tigres vs Toluca Preview

Tigres endured a challenging semi-final against Cruz Azul. Both teams ended the tie in a perfect 2-2 on aggregate, but UANL advanced due to being the higher seeded club. It was the hosts’ most difficult pair of clashes in the final phase campaign so far. Tigres are staring at their first Apertura title since 2017.

Los Auriazules will be counting once again on Argentine attacking midfielder Juan Brunetta, who has scored in almost every match in this campaign. The last time both teams met, Tigres defeated Toluca 4-3 on the road but their last meeting at Estadio Universitario ended in a 1-1 draw. Tigres will hope to claim a comfortable lead ahead of the second leg.

Toluca lost 1-0 to Monterrey in the semi-final first leg but snatched the aggregate victory following a hard-fought 3-2 win in the second leg. It was a tough clash that involved two penalties – one for each side. It could also serve as useful groundwork for the two-legged tie of the final against Tigres.

Diablos Rojos last won the Apertura in 2008 and came close to clinching the title in 2012, finishing as runners-up. The visitors achieved a brilliant campaign in the regular season, finishing atop the standings. Interestingly, they finished one point above Tigres (37-36). Their Apertura rivalry is set to reach its climax in the grand finale.

Tigres vs Toluca Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

Tigres have won twice, drawn once and lost twice in their last five matches against Toluca.
Tigres have won thrice and drawn twice in their last five matches at home against Toluca.
Tigres have won thrice and drawn twice in their last five matches at home in all competitions.
Toluca have won twice, drawn twice and lost once in their last five matches on the road.
Tigres have won twice and drawn thrice in their last five matches while Toluca have won thrice, drawn once and lost once: Form Guide: Tigres – D-D-W-D-W, Toluca – W-L-D-W-W.

Tigres vs Toluca Prediction

Tigres will be without two key players, Ibanez Nicolas and Mendez Fernando, due to injury. The hosts will hope to make their home advantage count to avoid a repeat of the semifinal scenario.

Toluca will miss the services of Luan and Vega Alexis due to muscular injuries. The visitors will be in search of their first win at Estadio Universitario since 2021.

Tigres are the favorites based on home advantage.

Prediction: Tigres 3-1 Toluca