Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Betting Tips

Jagiellonia Bialystok will host Rayo Vallecano at the Chorten Arena on Thursday in the penultimate round of the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League's league phase. The home side had to go through the qualifiers to secure their spot in the league phase this term, but have acquitted themselves well in the tournament so far and could climb into the top eight with a win on Thursday.

After registering 1-1 draws with Strasbourg and Shkendija in the second and third rounds of the tournament, respectively, Jagiellonia welcomed KuPS to Poland, keen to return to winning ways. They did just that, winning 1-0, with Afimico Pululu scoring the winner in the 51st minute to lift Jaga up to ninth place in the league phase.

Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, recorded two wins and a draw from their first three Conference League matches of the campaign, but suffered their first setback in round four, falling 2-1 to Slovan Bratislava. A long-range strike from Franco Perez handed the Spanish side a one-goal lead at the break before a sluggish start to the second half saw them concede a quickfire double and ultimately leave Slovakia empty-handed.

The visitors sit 12th in the table with seven points and will look to reverse their fortunes when they return to Europe this week.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

Thursday's game will mark the first-ever meeting between the two teams.
Jagiellonia's sole previous encounter with Spanish opposition in competitive action came last season when they faced Real Betis in the quarter-finals of the Conference League, suffering a 3-1 defeat across the two-legged tie.
Vallecano are the joint-second highest-scoring side in the tournament so far with eight goals.
Jaga have conceded two goals in the Conference League this season. Only AEK Larnaca (0) have a better defensive record.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Jagiellonia have lost their last two matches after a four-match unbeaten run. They have lost just two home fixtures all season and will rely heavily on their home advantage this week to secure a result.

Los Franjirrojos are in significantly worse form heading into the midweek clash, having managed just one win in their last six matches. However, they remain the stronger side ahead of the fixture and are expected to confirm that status on Thursday.

Prediction: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 Rayo Vallecano