Today’s Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets: Top 3 picks for Dodgers vs. Blue Jays World Series Game 4 ft. Will Smith, and more for October 28, 2025

After an instant classic in Game 3 where Shohei Ohtani stole the spotlight with a historic two-homer, four-hit, four-walk performance, and with Freddie Freeman's walk-off homer, the Los Angeles Dodgers now hold a narrow 2-1 lead heading into Game 4 of the 2025 World Series against the Toronto Blue Jays.

With momentum leaning toward the Dodgers but both offenses heating up, the home run market looks especially enticing on Tuesday night. Shane Bieber takes the mound for Toronto, facing Ohtani as the Dodgers’ two-way ace, in a matchup loaded with star power and offensive fireworks.

Given how the ball’s been flying and the quality of hitters on both sides, bettors have a rare opportunity to target some of the hottest power bats in baseball for potential long-ball value.

Note: Odds are set by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. No outcome can be guaranteed when betting on sports.

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Today’s Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets for Dodgers vs. Blue Jays World Series Game 4

#3. Will Smith (+418)

Will Smith finished 2025 as one of the Los Angeles Dodgers’ most consistent run producers, posting a .296 average with 17 homers and a .901 OPS during the regular season.

He has historically handled RHP well, which matters on Tuesday night versus Bieber. Smith’s game is contact plus power; he barrels mistakes and doesn’t need many to look dangerous.

With Bieber capable of messing up and a Dodgers lineup that protects its middle order, Smith’s chance to see a mistake fastball in a hitter’s count is real.

At +418, he’s a mid-range value play: not the shortest price, but justified by his split success and the park’s carrying tendencies.

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#2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+357)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the postseason’s most dangerous hitters with elite contact, and his recent red-hot play makes him a consistent long-ball threat.

Entering the Fall Classic, he’d posted an eye-popping postseason line and was carrying that momentum into this series. He mashes mistakes middle-up and punishes fastballs in the heart of the zone.

Facing Ohtani means Vlad will see a starter who mixes well but can occasionally leave a pitch where a hitter of Guerrero’s caliber will do damage. Rogers Centre’s roar is gone; this is Dodger Stadium, but Vlad’s approach and current groove still make +357 a buyable mid-ticket play if you expect him to see at least one elevated offering to drive.

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#1. Shohei Ohtani (+190)

On Monday night, Shohei Ohtani turned Game 3 into a one-man epic, reaching base nine times with two homers, two doubles and four intentional walks while doing the kind of damage only he can do.

That historic offensive outburst not only underscores his terrifying raw power and elite barrel/exit-velo profile but also reshapes Los Angeles’ bullpen timeline since he’s now slated to start on the bump in Game 4.

His spot in a protected lineup increases his opportunity to face pitches he can drive. At +190, it's buying the most likely home-run candidate on the board: smaller payout, higher probability, the textbook “core single” for a prop ticket.