Ranger Suarez knew what was coming, so he made the only move that made sense. Philadelphia’s 2025 pitching star officially declined the $22.025 million qualifying offer and hit free agency following the best season of his career.
The 29-year-old lefty became one of MLB's most dependable starters in 2025, throwing 157.1 innings over 26 starts. He went 12-8 with a 3.20 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and 151 strikeouts, all career highs in innings and strikeouts for a full season.
Suarez has already shown postseason value too. In the 2022 playoffs, he ran a 1.23 ERA in five postseason outings, winning a World Series game and closing the NL pennant series against the Padres.
That October track record is exactly why contenders will still line up for him. He isn’t a someday pitcher. He’s a right-now pitcher in arguably the least saturated part of this year’s pitching market. So where does he actually fit? Based on need, park factor, timing, and recent league chatter, these three spots stand out as the most realistic.
#1. Houston Astros
Houston just lost Framber Valdez to free agency after he declined a qualifying offer of his own, which makes pitching their most obvious winter problem to fix.
Minute Maid Park punishes elevated fly balls, but Suarez doesn’t rely on elevated fly balls. He lives low, mixes changeups and breaking stuff, and keeps bad nights short for the bullpen.
Houston doesn’t need him to throw 7-inning gems every night. They need someone who throws 5-6 smart innings, limits damage, and gives them playoff credibility again.
#2. Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have Justin Steele, but their rotation is still in need of a steady front-half lefty to help them push past summer fatigue.
Suarez fits as a No. 2/3 lefty on a team looking for innings and on-base percentage friendly pitching without necessarily needing 200 strikeouts from one pitcher.
Wrigley is a park where pitching flow, movement, and keeping games calm still wins more arguments than velocity.
#3. San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park is baseball’s soft-landing runway for pitchers who rely on craft, sequencing, and spacious alleys.
The Giants have whiffed on top-tier targets for years and are now built to finally invest in a starter approaching his peak rather than his epilogue.
For Suarez, pitching in San Francisco means a chance to rebuild value in a park that protects his style. For the Giants, it’s another veteran who can slot into the middle of the rotation on important nights, not everyday ace pressure.